Columbus North
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #1
Brown County Semi-State Rank #1
Columbus North Regional Rank #1
Brown County Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 58.5%
Top 5 at State Finals 99.8%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Rick Weinheimer Classic Eagle Classic Conference Indiana Golden Bear Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Brown County Sectional Columbus North Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30
Team Rating 119 85 96 111 700 118 488 164 168 124
Team Adjusted Rating 85 96 111 119 101 119 164 128 124
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Rick Weinheimer Classic Eagle Classic Conference Indiana Golden Bear Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Brown County Sectional Columbus North Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
7  Julia Kiesler 11 18:23 17:52 19:03 18:12 18:43 18:46 18:13 18:36
8  Lily Baker 11 18:25 18:34 18:20 18:44 18:09 18:33 18:26
22  Brianna Newell 11 18:54 18:43 18:47 18:49 18:52 19:01 18:51 19:08
50  Katherine Rumsey 12 19:20 18:51 18:48 19:12 19:55 19:40 19:17
83  Abby Jacobi 12 19:40 19:26 19:13 19:52 19:46 19:53 19:43 19:34
93  Sydney Morlok 11 19:44 19:27 19:37 20:25 19:10 20:15 19:45 19:36
120  Alyssa Green 12 19:52 19:49 19:32 19:33 19:53 21:35 19:41 20:15
147  Ellen White 11 20:04 20:03 19:34 20:51 19:58 19:50 20:16
174  Jessica Meza 11 20:12 20:14 20:04 20:05 20:07 20:25
349  Sierra Newell 9 21:02 21:04 21:06 20:36 21:11 21:09 21:01
371  Nicole Meza 12 21:06 21:01 20:59 20:34 21:27 22:38 20:47
450  Claire Wisler 11 21:23 21:15 21:26 21:13 21:27 20:57 22:01
465  Sylvia Sasse 10 21:26 20:43 21:55
508  Charley Kerber 9 21:32 21:30 21:28 21:28 21:37 21:30 21:38
537  Kenzie Meyer 10 21:36 21:03 21:22 25:14
684  Kyleigh Wolf 9 22:00 26:20 21:40 21:53 21:44 22:07
713  Emily Titus 11 22:05 22:26 22:11 21:47 21:56 22:26 21:54
941  Macy Eaton 9 22:34 22:38 22:39 22:23 22:37 22:35
966  Maggie Russell 9 22:38 22:46 22:36 22:38 22:30 22:41
1,087  Kenzie Pendleton 10 22:52 22:15 22:30 23:17 22:58 23:08
Caylyn Pruitt 10 23:34 23:55 23:28 23:23 23:16 23:58
Katie Frazier 9 23:58 24:07 24:19 24:54 23:31 23:39




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 1.5 101 58.5 32.8 6.3 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.0 42 98.9 1.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 15 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 17 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julia Kiesler 100% 9.3 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.2 5.3 7.6 9.7 9.7 9.1 8.4 8.1 6.9 6.4 5.0 3.9 3.2 2.6 1.9 1.7 1.4 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 100.0%
Lily Baker 100% 9.8 0.5 1.7 3.0 4.6 6.9 8.5 9.2 8.8 8.6 7.8 7.0 6.4 5.7 4.5 3.7 3.3 2.5 1.6 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Brianna Newell 100% 23.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.2 2.7 3.6 3.6 4.4 4.6 4.9 4.7 5.0 4.9 4.2 4.2 3.6 100.0%
Katherine Rumsey 100% 48.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 97.6%
Abby Jacobi 100% 79.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 78.1%
Sydney Morlok 100% 86.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 70.4%
Alyssa Green 100% 100.8 0.0 0.0 50.8%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julia Kiesler 100% 1.2 43.1 34.3 12.1 5.7 2.5 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Lily Baker 100% 1.4 35.7 36.9 14.8 6.5 3.2 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Brianna Newell 100% 5.7 0.2 1.1 11.6 14.0 13.6 13.1 11.2 9.4 7.2 5.6 4.0 2.7 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Katherine Rumsey 100% 13.6 0.1 0.6 1.2 2.1 3.5 4.6 5.3 6.7 6.8 7.1 7.9 7.5 7.1 6.5 5.8 5.1 4.6 3.6 3.5 2.3 2.1 1.7 1.0 100.0%
Abby Jacobi 100% 22.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.5 2.1 2.9 3.4 3.9 4.7 5.1 5.3 6.3 5.7 5.7 5.5 5.8 5.8 100.0%
Sydney Morlok 100% 24.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.9 3.4 3.9 4.3 4.9 5.3 5.6 5.8 5.8 6.1 100.0%
Alyssa Green 100% 28.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.6 2.2 2.7 2.9 3.8 4.2 4.7 5.0 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julia Kiesler 100% 1.0 54.5 43.2 2.2 0.1 100.0%
Lily Baker 100% 1.1 44.5 52.2 3.1 0.2 100.0%
Brianna Newell 100% 2.6 0.3 2.9 72.7 22.0 2.0 0.1 100.0%
Katherine Rumsey 100% 4.3 2.4 29.6 51.6 11.8 3.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Abby Jacobi 100% 6.2 0.1 1.8 10.8 33.3 25.1 14.7 7.9 3.7 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Sydney Morlok 100% 6.7 0.9 5.9 23.7 27.7 19.8 11.4 5.8 3.0 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Alyssa Green 100% 7.9 0.2 1.7 7.4 16.8 26.0 19.1 13.0 8.7 4.7 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julia Kiesler 1.0 53.8 43.9 2.2 0.2
Lily Baker 1.1 45.5 51.4 2.9 0.2
Brianna Newell 2.6 0.2 3.0 72.3 22.5 1.9 0.1
Katherine Rumsey 4.3 2.3 29.9 53.4 11.1 2.8 0.5 0.1
Abby Jacobi 6.0 0.1 2.2 11.3 38.2 27.7 15.2 5.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
Sydney Morlok 6.5 0.0 0.9 6.4 26.2 32.9 23.5 9.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
Alyssa Green 7.5 0.2 1.6 8.7 20.6 39.6 27.0 1.9 0.3 0.1